Trader Skills #8: 1st Reversal Likely Minor
  1. Intro
  2. Concept
  3. How to trade:
  4. Example:

Intro

In a previous post I have covered the same principle from a different angle.

My intention is that it will support the selection of higher probability (higher %) trade selection.

See: Trader Skills #4: Two Attempts

Concept

– Market cycle -> Breakout -> Tight Channel.

– Next market structure = Broad Channel (Deep pullbacks)

– Stop Order bulls BTC, BTM – buying high wide stop

– Limit Order bulls unable to get in below bars

– Stop placement either very tight (below bar, scalp below bar) or very side (TR lows)

– Scale in at logical / mathematical areas (50%, 65%, breakout points / breakout gap midpoints)

How to trade:

– If early in leg count there is a high probability of scaling below and getting breakeven ~80%. And about 60% chance of $

– When it fails, it is either late in leg count or a big surprise.

– That big surprise creates at least 2 trades (often 3): O

– One in direction of surprise (leg 2)

– One back to the trap price (good place for limit order)

– One again in the surprise direction

Example:

Bear Channel but never trapped bulls too badly
Bull BO, trapped bulls, setup many trades!
Counter trend, setup for a LL DB (High 2 Bottom)
Trading Range Days (TRD) are forgiving if you can scale in and be patient

Leave a comment

I’m Tim

Welcome to Zen Trading Tech.

I’m a Aussie day trader and I post trading tips, practice drills, and indicators that helped my trading get to a professional level.

Everything here is to help train the eyes and hands to trade better. If it helped me I’ll post it for others. Hope you enjoy!