Trader Skills #20: Trading Ranges: Failed BO + FT

Exploring the impact of a failed BO + FT (Breakout and Followthrough) outside of key magnets (OHLC today / yesterday) and how we can use it to take TR (Trading Range) entries in a TRD (Trading Range Day)

Summary from below research:

– Failure to get BO+FT highly related sign for TRD

– Sometimes BO+FT far distance away from range, trade PB

– Clarity between swing high and a range high – ie YD TRD, so more important to BO

– Leg 3 is high % failure, especially in TRD

– Channels don’t BO+FT but get legs in that direction

– One big bar can do it

– If the BO+FT gets not trending behavior – usually time to exit before loss

– Don’t be precious on swing points – day structure is more important

– Test extremes of range, DT or DB in middle can be broken by a lot

Examples

TRD: Betting on failed BO’s, don’t trade BOM 5th reversal!

– When BO and FT is unclear, channel and deeper pullbacks likely

BL BO, PWT HOD Reversal, but got a Big Bar to a new low – not technically BO and FT, but enough for few legs down

– When BO and FT is more obvious, sideways and then new L / H more likely

Market controlled by BR, expect BL BO to fail
Clear BO + FT, but 3 good legs
Comparison with a trend day – BR trap open, LOD reversal, SPBBL – BO+FT, pb, repeat… don’t short!

– BR Trap open above with BL trap below…

YD Range – zoom out for better swing entries

– But that gives us the issue of always putting the PA inside a range from before…

– But helped again here as YD

DB but not low enough in TR…expect extremes to be tested

Channels

– Channels have failed BO+FT, but have many legs in that direction

BR Day, BR Spike Ch, 3 Failed BO+FT, yet swinging down most of day

– So now with channel research, we can remove one side of our TR trading – ie if BR spike, trade short side high, but not long side low… stop too wide, more fun to trade with the stronger side until something changes

BO+FT but still TR

– Everything fails, which makes sense because trading is two-sided

– Here BO +FT but didn’t turn into trend

BL BO+FT but no new trend… you had several hours to exit without a loss though… 🙂

– Here we can see not, being precious on swing points meant staying long for longer

Best Buy’s were below the low! Ignore one side of TR, here ignore short side, being patient for pullbacks – no matter how strong they look

But swing points are important, just not all equally important – here – ET day, look for reasons to enter

Late leg, and broke swing high, but then broke the key swing high…WB at MA Trend resumption TRES

5 failed BO’s = BOM!

– Squeezes H and L, so be ready for the more obvious move

SX LOD Reversal SPB BL – 5 failed BO = BOM!

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I’m Tim

Welcome to Zen Trading Tech.

I’m a Aussie day trader and I post trading tips, practice drills, and indicators that helped my trading get to a professional level.

Everything here is to help train the eyes and hands to trade better. If it helped me I’ll post it for others. Hope you enjoy!